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Crosstab model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 37.2% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will end up with 62.8%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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