Texas: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 45.2% for Clinton, and 54.8% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 44.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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