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Texas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead


The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.7% of the two-party vote share in Texas, while Trump will end up with 53.3%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in Texas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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