Crosstab model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 41.5% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will end up with 58.6%.
Putting the results in context
Single models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Dakota.