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Crosstab model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 41.0% for Clinton, and 59.0% for Trump in South Dakota. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to garner 58.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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