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South Carolina: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 43.8% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 56.2%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to win only 43.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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