Crosstab model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 47.0% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will win 53.0%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.