Pennsylvania: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 54.0% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, while Trump will end up with 46.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they can include large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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