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Oregon: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 56.5% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will win 43.5%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to gain only 56.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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