The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 56.3% for Clinton, and 43.7% for Trump in Oregon.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.