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Crosstab model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 55.9% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will end up with 44.1%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to end up with 56.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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