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Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.7% for Clinton, and 64.3% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to obtain 65.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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