The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 49.7% for Clinton, and 50.3% for Trump in Ohio. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to achieve 50.4% of the vote.
Historically, Ohio has been a battleground state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why forecasts in this state are of particular importance.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 49.2% of the two-party vote in Ohio. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.