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North Carolina: Trump and Clinton virtually tied in new Remington Research (R)*Remington (R)* poll

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Results of a new poll administered by Remington Research (R)Remington (R) were announced. The poll asked respondents from North Carolina for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

Remington Research (R)Remington (R) poll results
44

Clinton

47

Trump

Of those who responded, 44.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 47.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between October 20 and October 22. The sample size was 1764 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.3 percentage points, which means that the poll results for the candidates of both parties do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 48.4% for Clinton and 51.7% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

An average of recent polls in North Carolina has Trump at 48.9% of the two-party vote. Compared to her numbers in the Remington Research (R)Remington (R) poll Trump's poll average is 2.9 percentage points worse. This difference is outside the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 49.5% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 2.2 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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