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North Carolina: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 50.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will win 49.6%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to win only 50.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 49.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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