Crosstab model in New York: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 63.5% for Clinton, and 36.5% for Trump in New York.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.3% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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