Crosstab model in New York: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 63.5% for Clinton, and 36.5% for Trump in New York.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.3% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.