The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 56.3% for Clinton, and 43.7% for Trump in New Mexico.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.