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Crosstab model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead


The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 55.8% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will end up with 44.2%. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to win 43.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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