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New Jersey: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 60.1% for Clinton, and 39.9% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 59.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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