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Crosstab model in New Hampshire: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 54.7% for Clinton, and 45.3% for Trump in New Hampshire.

New Hampshire is traditionally a swing state, where the two major political parties have often won similar voter support. This is why the election outcome in that state is viewed as crucial in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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