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New Hampshire: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 54.1% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, while Trump will end up with 45.9%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to achieve 54.7% of the vote.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a battleground state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Hampshire.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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