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Missouri: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.3% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 52.7%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to gain 53.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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