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Crosstab model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.0% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will end up with 54.1%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to win 46.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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