The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.0% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will end up with 54.1%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to win 46.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.