The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will win 45.6%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they may contain large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.