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Minnesota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will win 45.6%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they may contain large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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