The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.5% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 45.5%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to win 54.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.3% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Michigan.