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Michigan: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.5% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 45.5%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to win 54.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.3% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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