Maryland: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 69.3% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, whereas Trump will end up with 30.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.1% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.