Maryland: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 69.3% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, whereas Trump will end up with 30.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.1% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.