The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 43.3% for Clinton, and 56.7% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to gain 57.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.