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Louisiana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 43.3% for Clinton, and 56.7% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to gain 57.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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