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Louisiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 41.7% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, whereas Trump will end up with 58.3%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to collect only 41.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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