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Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they can include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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