The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.