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Kansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead


The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 42.8% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 57.2%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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