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Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C..

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 89.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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