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Indiana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.0% for Clinton, and 55.0% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 44.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Indiana. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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