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Illinois: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 59.9% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will end up with 40.1%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in Illinois. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Illinois.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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