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Illinois: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 59.8% for Clinton, and 40.2% for Trump in Illinois. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to collect 59.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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