Hawaii: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 69.8% for Clinton, and 30.2% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they may contain substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 69.0% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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