The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 69.8% for Clinton, and 30.2% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, as they may contain substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 69.0% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.