Hawaii: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 64.2% for Clinton, and 35.8% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to achieve 69.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 69.4% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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