Georgia: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 48.9% for Clinton, and 51.2% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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