Georgia: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 48.9% for Clinton, and 51.2% for Trump in Georgia.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.