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Georgia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 48.6% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will win 51.4%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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