Crosstab model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.8% for Clinton, and 48.2% for Trump in Florida.

Historically, Florida has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is why forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 51.5% of the two-party vote in Florida. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Florida.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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