DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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