DeSart & Holbrook model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.7% for Clinton, and 62.3% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 36.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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