DeSart & Holbrook model in Tennessee: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 42.6% for Clinton, and 57.4% for Trump in Tennessee. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to garner 57.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Tennessee.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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