DeSart & Holbrook model in New Hampshire: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 54.3% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, whereas Trump will end up with 45.7%.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a purple state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. This is why predictions here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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