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DeSart & Holbrook model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 66.4% for Clinton, and 33.7% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 65.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.2% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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