DeSart & Holbrook model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 63.5% for Clinton, and 36.5% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 62.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.