Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 29.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 69.8% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.