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DeSart & Holbrook model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 53.1% for Clinton, and 47.0% for Trump in Florida. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to gain only 51.7% of the vote.

Florida is traditionally a battleground state, where the candidates of both major parties have historically gained similar voter support. This is the reason why the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.2% of the two-party vote in Florida. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Florida.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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