DeSart & Holbrook model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 60.4% for Clinton, and 39.6% for Trump in Delaware. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 58.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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