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DeSart & Holbrook model in Colorado: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.3% for Clinton, and 46.7% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 53.2% of the vote.

Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the Republican and Democratic candidates have historically won similar levels of support among voters. This is the reason why the election outcome in that state is considered important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.9% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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